Not a day for flying!

[Guest Fred Bear]

Today is definately not the day for flying (well not around Area 21). This afternoon and tomorrow forecast to be alot worse. Methinks no flying at The Oaks tomorrow.Sunday should be the better day. A Virgin Blue 737 just reported at 20,000ft wind 300 degrees 100kts :confused: I'd hate to be up there in a Jab! Here is the current ARFOR for 21:

 

Area Forecasts: AREA 21

 

22:15 UTC, 17/05/2007

 

AMEND AREA FORECAST 172300 TO 181100 AREA 21

 

OVERVIEW:

 

SIGMET FOR ICING AND SEV TURB [REFER SIGMET]. RAIN AREAS, CONTRACTING

 

SE TO FAR S AND SEA/COAST BY 02Z. RAIN CONTINUING IN FAR SE, BUT

 

TENDING TO ISOL SHOWERS N OF UDA BY 05Z. SCATTERED SHOWERS

 

RANGES/WEST, BEC ISOL AFTER 02Z. ISOL THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY W OF

 

YBTH/KIAN BETWEEN 23Z AND 05Z. DEVELOPING TROUGH, EXPECTED NEAR

 

KIAN/YSSY AT 23Z AND FAR SE AT 02Z.

 

SUBDIVISIONS:

 

A: SE OF TROUGH

 

B: NW OF TROUGH

 

WIND:

 

2000 5000 7000 10000 14000 18500

 

A: 020/25 020/40 020/40 350/45 PS03 350/45 MS05 340/40 MS13

 

B: 280/30 270/40 270/45 270/40 MS02 280/40 MS09 280/45 MS19

 

CLOUD:

 

ISOL CB 5000/30000 AS PER OVERVIEW.

 

BKN ST IN PRECIP 2000/5000 RANGES/W SLOPES, 1000/3000 SEA/COAST.

 

SCT CU/SC 4000/9000 W SLOPES, 3000/8000 SEA/COAST, 5000/10000 RANGES,

 

TENDING BKN WITH PRECIP.

 

BKN ACAS ABV 10000 CONTRACTING SE, TO FAR SOUTH AND SEA/COAST BY 02Z.

 

WEATHER:

 

RA, SHRA, TSRA.

 

VISIBILITY:

 

3000M TSRA, 4000M RA/SHRA, 7KM -RA.

 

FREEZING LEVEL:

 

11000 E OF TROUGH LOWERING TO 8500 IN W AFTER 02Z.

 

ICING:

 

SEV IN ACAS BTW 12000/18500 [REFER SIGMET], EASING.

 

AMD TURBULENCE:

 

MOD BELOW 10000FT, INCR. [REFER SIGMET].

 

CRITICAL LOCALITIES:

 

[HEIGHTS ABOVE MSL]:

 

MT VICTORIA [3700FT]: 9999 -SHRA BKN CU 5000

 

INTER 2301 4000 SHRA BKN ST 4000

 

BOWRAL [2200FT]: 9999 -SHRA BKN CU 3500

 

INTER 2301 4000 SHRA BKN ST 3000

 

REMARKS:

 

FOR MORE INFORMATION RING 02 9296 1527

 

 

[Ultralights]

its a good day! as long as your in something turbine powered!

 

 

[Guest Fred Bear]

its a good day! as long as your in something turbine powered!

And heading in the opposite direction!

 

 

[Guest b1rd]

The sun's out in Sydney as I type ..... but due to windy westerlies :;)6:. Suddenly the weather reports are of more interest to me ! Hope it settles down by Sunday.

 

What's the maximum wind speed you can fly Lightwings/ Jabs in ?

 

 

[Guest Fred Bear]

12kts is the Jabs x-wind component.Not sure about the Lightwing.The Oaks can get real bumpy with Westerlies too!Sunday should be a good day though.Don't worry mate, I'll still take you for a fly in the Jab!Amazing how quickly it cleared here in Sydney.

 

 

[Guest b1rd]

12kts is the Jabs x-wind component.Not sure about the Lightwing.The Oaks can get real bumpy with Westerlies too!Sunday should be a good day though.Don't worry mate, I'll still take you for a fly in the Jab!Amazing how quickly it cleared here in Sydney.

Bumpy or not ..... excellent thanks Darren :).

 

 

[Yenn]

I hear the cross strip at The Oaks can get terrible downdraughts in a Westerly. Anyone had any experience of it?

 

 

[Guest Fred Bear]

I hear the cross strip at The Oaks can get terrible downdraughts in a Westerly. Anyone had any experience of it?

One reason we do not use it (unless it's an emergency). That and the trees you have to climb over at each end!

 

 

[Guest Fred Bear]

Its actually 14kts - even better!;)

Oh close C'mon

 

 

[PaulN]

Heh, heh. I knew when I read the wx reports this morning someone from The Oaks would post something about it. Thanks for not disappointing Darren ;).

 

We had great conditions here at Cooma this morning before the front came through ... could even have a windscreen wash as you flew along at 500 agl. No, I didn't .

 

Paul

 

 

[Guest Fred Bear]

I aim to please Paul

 

 

[Guest Emma Masters]

Good for shopping :big_grin::big_grin::big_grin:

 

 

[Guest David C]

Oh No !!.... I knew that dreaded S word would manage to creep in to the conversation

 

Dave C

 

 

[freddy]

Hello there southerners.

 

Just been for a lovely fly in the Drifter. Light winds, warm weather (no Jacket required). Sometimes you can be lucky in Windyberg.

 

 

[Guest Fred Bear]

Just been for a lovely fly in the Drifter. Light winds, warm weather (no Jacket required). Sometimes you can be lucky in Windyberg.

That's it! Rub it in!

 

 

[Ben Longden]

Yeah.... rub it in....

 

Navex cancelled for the second week in a row.... and I am slowly going ground crazy...

 

Ben

 

 

[Guest Fred Bear]

I am hoping to 'get up there' tomorrow. No telling with this wind though