Russ Posted March 25, 2014 Posted March 25, 2014 Chasing a good site to get a long range ( 14 day ) expected weather forecast / prediction, The best I can get is 7 days. Help appreciated.....Russ.
facthunter Posted March 25, 2014 Posted March 25, 2014 The longer it is the less reliable it is. (But you probably knew that) Agricultural use ones might be best. Nev
FlyingVizsla Posted March 25, 2014 Posted March 25, 2014 Try Elders - http://www.eldersweather.com.au Put in your postcode (choose your suburb) Below the 7 day forecast is an option of 28 day forecast for the area (and 12 month rainfall prediction) Disclaimer 28 day rainfall predictions and general weather outlook. Sue 1
Russ Posted March 25, 2014 Author Posted March 25, 2014 Thanks, any "guide" to possible weather beyond the 7 days will help decision making for extended trips. Be a bummer to head off this week, with good weather for the next 7 days, but then turns to shyte the following week or so. Some may say it,s all part of the fun......grounded with rubbish weather, they might, but I don,t. ( I get hangovers from too much liquid fun )
frank marriott Posted March 25, 2014 Posted March 25, 2014 The limitation of VFR flying - you spend more time sitting at airports then in the air. But then I have no desire to fly little 2 seaters in IMC even if it was permitted. Spent 3 extra days at Temora due weather a couple of years ago but sitting on the back verandah at the Services Club, watching practise for aerobatic championships the next weekend was a plus - flying one would normally pay to see.
Yenn Posted March 26, 2014 Posted March 26, 2014 Try getting a good short range forecast. the met office is just astrology with numbers. We had showers for capricornia. Yeppoon is flooded. Last year when bundaberg was devastated with floods the forecast was for no effect from the cyclone to SE Qld. Qld has had a couple of cyclones this year, which just seemed to be a beat up by the media and the met office.
Russ Posted March 29, 2014 Author Posted March 29, 2014 Ok.....weather wise, how's Nebo, Rolleston, Dingo, kingaroy, looking for next week.....any folks here in that general areas. ( rains going etc, strips ok, ?? ) weather reports show bucket loads of water last several days all over the place.
facthunter Posted March 29, 2014 Posted March 29, 2014 Look for a "Non Prophet" weather forecasting system. Nev 1 1
Powerin Posted March 29, 2014 Posted March 29, 2014 Hi Russ, the longest forecast models are Extended GFS and some of these go out to 16 days. Elders weather will get you some of these for free, but Weatherzone (where Elders get their info) offers more if you pay for the Silver membership. A quick and easy guide to weather out to 14 days can be found here. It is a simple map of expected rainfall in blocks of 1-7 days and 7-14 days. It's good for a simple overview of what may happen. For a very comprehensive (information overload) forecast map try this one from the UK Weather Online. This has rainfall and surface pressure forecasts out to 16 day in 3 hour intervals. Many other parameters are available: wind, temperature, freezing levels, even convection forecasts such as Lifted Indices (Thunderstorms) and Soaring forecasts (I assume for gliders?). You can also choose other forecast models besides GFS. Not all forecasts are out to 16 days. You can animate the maps using the Loop button. As others have said, I have found forecasts past 7 days are a rough guide at best, but GFS models are not too bad at rainfall predictions.
Russ Posted March 29, 2014 Author Posted March 29, 2014 Thanks pal, good info, I was chasing "a local" to pop their head out the window, and give a " gut feel" as to where the current conditions MIGHT be in the forthcoming week, My area....gut feel, odd shower, winds 10.....15, scattered clouds, can expect improving next few days. Oh........ No strips closed. ( spoze that makes me a prophet.)
FlyingVizsla Posted March 29, 2014 Posted March 29, 2014 We will be back near Rolleston from Mon-Tues. Sealed strip, out of flood level, however Rolleston town can get cut off for weeks (about 2 months 2011/12). Dingo Roadhouse has the Dingo strip in their back yard - ring them for an update - unsealed strip. Sue
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